Michigan Senate Race Intensifies as McMorrow Exits

Michigan’s Senate race has seen significant changes. Democratic state Senator Mallory McMorrow suspended her campaign only a month before the primary in August. This leaves progressive Abdul El-Sayed and establishment-supported Representative Haley Stevens as the primary contenders. Control of the U.S. Senate could hinge on this election.

McMorrow exited the race while Democrats increasingly see the Michigan seat as essential to reclaiming the Senate majority this fall. Her departure creates a clear contest between El-Sayed and Stevens, highlighting the Democratic Party’s internal tensions.

McMorrow announced, “Today, I’m announcing that I am suspending my campaign for United States Senate.” She did not endorse either candidate, but expressed support for the eventual Democratic nominee.

The seat will be vacated by Democratic Senator Gary Peters, retiring at the end of his term. The primary winner will likely face former Representative Mike Rogers, the expected Republican nominee, in one of the nation’s most competitive Senate races.

A Two-Way Race Emerges

With McMorrow’s departure, Stevens and El-Sayed stand as the main contenders for the Democratic primary on August 4.

Stevens, serving four terms as congresswoman, draws backing from key Democratic establishment figures such as Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer. El-Sayed, a former public health official, is endorsed by progressive leaders like Senator Bernie Sanders and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

The race is shaping up as a proxy battle for the Democratic Party’s future. Supporters of Stevens believe a centrist candidate can best challenge Rogers in November. Conversely, El-Sayed’s backers argue for progressive candidates’ ability to galvanize voters and secure statewide victories.

Why This Race Matters Nationally

Michigan is central to Democrats’ Senate battleground in 2026. The Republicans maintain a 53-47 Senate majority. The seat vacated by Peters is vital for Democrats to hold if they aim to regain control.

The race highlights an ideological schism within the Democratic Party. Stevens aligns with mainstream Democrats and garners establishment support, while El-Sayed enjoys backing from progressives led by Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez.

Progressive successes in New York and Colorado have sparked debates on the party’s direction. Michigan is now a test case for these discussions before the 2026 midterms.

El-Sayed Had Been Gaining Momentum

McMorrow’s withdrawal follows polls showing El-Sayed gaining ground in the Democratic primary. A Quantus Insights poll indicated El-Sayed leading with 41% support among Democratic voters, compared to Stevens’ 35.6% and McMorrow’s 7.5%.

El-Sayed received a strategic boost when Ocasio-Cortez endorsed him, emphasizing the significance for Democrats and citing him as the party’s optimal candidate.

Political analysts observe Michigan’s race as a test of progressives in a swing state. While prior progressive wins have invigorated the left, doubts persist about success in Michigan, a state Trump won by 1.4 percentage points in 2024.

A Challenge for AOC and Progressives

The race is pivotal for Ocasio-Cortez’s standing within the Democratic Party.

Ocasio-Cortez and El-Sayed have been allies since his 2018 gubernatorial campaign, and her endorsement comes as Michigan gains national focus in the Senate primary. Sanders also endorses El-Sayed, uniting him with prominent left-wing figures.

Advocates argue El-Sayed’s viability in swing states could prove progressive strengths beyond Democratic districts. Critics express concerns about his general election prospects against Rogers.

The primary outcome will likely influence national discussions on the party’s direction post-2024.

Outside Spending Loomed Large

McMorrow didn’t specify reasons for ending her campaign, but reports suggest outside spending played a role.

Politico cites a campaign official attributing McMorrow’s exit to roughly $32 million in outside spending favoring Stevens as a mainstream candidate.

El-Sayed capitalized on McMorrow’s statement, criticizing establishment involvement. Stevens lauded McMorrow’s contributions and anticipated future collaboration.

What Happens Next?

McMorrow’s departure transforms the primary into a binary choice between Stevens and El-Sayed.

A televised debate will occur this week, with McMorrow’s backers emerging as a crucial voting bloc ahead of the August primary.

The general election is expected to be one of the most expensive and impactful Senate contests of the 2026 midterms. Democrats must win the Michigan seat to regain Senate control.