U.S. Considers Major Military Action Against Iran

President Trump is considering launching a substantial military operation against Iran. He informed Axios that he is close to a decision on a potential “massive attack.” The U.S. has been expanding its military targets and increasing its firepower in daily strikes on Iran.

Trump stated to Axios reporter Barak Ravid that cooperation with Israel, which participated in initial strikes on February 28, could be immediate if requested. He noted that the U.S. might not require additional support for a future attack. Earlier, Secretary of State Marco Rubio described Trump’s military approach as “a head for an eye.” The U.S. military is deploying more B-1 bombers, refueling jets, and medical personnel in the region.

Iran has accused the United States of strikes on a border crossing with Iraq, indicating a possible expansion of U.S. operations in the area. According to Gregory Brew, a senior analyst on Iran at the Eurasia Group, the situation might lead to a broader conflict resembling former U.S.-Israeli operations. Brew noted that escalation could occur due to the unsustainable current standoff, a limited action window for the U.S., unattractive de-escalation routes, and Iran’s unlikely compliance.

However, Trump’s decision comes with risks. Concerns include declining U.S. weapon stockpiles and rising energy costs as midterm elections approach. Sina Toossi, a senior fellow at the Center for International Policy, assessed that returning to diplomacy could be preferable. He pointed out the political challenges of a deal but noted they might be less severe than engaging in another long, costly war without achieving strategic goals.

Essential Developments

• The U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran may expand due to recent attacks on Saudi tankers by Yemeni militants, affecting global energy markets.
• The U.S. Navy has stopped releasing sailors’ service histories, citing security threats and harassment concerns.
• White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt shared no updates regarding a conditional Saudi-Israel nuclear deal.
• A proposal by Republican senators aims to create a leadership role for the U.S. Coast Guard, enhancing its governance.

Events to Watch

• The National Institute for Deterrence Studies will discuss missile defense in the Israel-Iran conflicts.
• The Hudson Institute examines Taiwan’s mobilization against China’s threats.
• World Beyond War holds a ceremony for War Abolisher Awards.

Additional News

• Changes in ICE operations since January have been highlighted by White House border czar Tom Homan, addressing recent criticisms.

Keep informed with The Hill’s Defense & National Security newsletter for more updates.