Potential Dismissal of U.S. Ambassador to Greece, Kimberly Guilfoyle, Under Discussion
President Donald Trump informed reporters on Monday that he is considering the potential dismissal of Kimberly Guilfoyle, the U.S. Ambassador to Greece, citing reports about her conduct. He stated, ‘we’re not happy’ with the situation. This comes as prediction market platform Kalshi indicates a trend of increasing odds for her dismissal before year-end.
Senate Majority Whip John Barrasso expressed expectations for an investigation into these reports. He highlighted the concerns they raised, which the Associated Press (AP) reported over the weekend. Both Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio are reportedly unhappy with Guilfoyle’s actions, according to a senior U.S. official, and they plan to make a decision about her position soon.
The allegations against Guilfoyle include the claim she asked a Republican donor for $100,000 to cover her credit card bill prior to her Senate confirmation hearing. Additional accusations involve suspected luxury travel and her interactions with Greek business figures. Newsweek reached out to both the White House and Guilfoyle’s attorney, Jesse Binnall, seeking further comment.
What Prediction Markets Show
Kalshi data indicates that the probability of Guilfoyle losing her ambassador position by November 1, 2026, increased from 43.6 percent on Sunday to 73.9 percent by Monday evening. For a departure before December 1, 2026, odds rose from 79.9 percent to 85 percent in that timeframe. Furthermore, predictions for a departure before January 1, 2027, climbed from 70.6 percent to 86.4 percent.
Similarly, Polymarket shows a 73 percent chance of Guilfoyle’s exit by October 31 and a 78 percent likelihood by December 31.
Guilfoyle’s Lawyers Speak Out
The allegations, which recently gained attention, reportedly involve text messages showing her asking Trump donor Eric Deters to settle a $100,000 American Express bill for access to senior officials. Guilfoyle’s lawyers, David Schwartz and Jesse Binnall, asserted her innocence and clarified that the funds were for services prior to her nomination. They stated their client ‘has served, and will continue to serve, with integrity, honor and distinction.’ They are also considering legal actions to recover the debt.
Regarding Guilfoyle’s use of private planes, her legal team mentioned that she followed State Department guidance and regulations for her travels, as reported by the AP.
Political analyst Craig Agranoff commented to Newsweek that Trump’s remarks reflect a necessary response since ambassadors are political appointees. Any allegations of misuse of office have to be handled as a potential personnel issue. He noted the impact loyalty might have on such matters does not eliminate their appearance. Agranoff added that leaving the issue unresolved, especially publicly, keeps it within the spotlight.
The State Department’s Inspector General is reportedly investigating whether Guilfoyle received any favors or gifts. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while in Athens, refrained from commenting extensively, but noted the embassy’s performance positively. Vice President JD Vance urged for the facts to come to light and mentioned that any wrongdoing must lead to consequences.