Surprising Contenders for College Football Playoff in 2026
As college football season approaches, one early sign is the release of preseason polls. Recently, the USA Today Coaches Poll ignited discussions about team rankings and the value of these preseason polls. While there’s some debate about the rankings, several teams might outperform their initial projections.
Understanding Preseason Polls
The Coaches Poll differs from the College Football Playoff Rankings. Yet, the top-12 in preseason polls often signals which teams experts expect to be in contention by December. Here are three teams outside the top-12 with potential to reach the College Football Playoff in 2026.
LSU Tigers (Preseason Rank: 13)
The LSU Tigers, under the leadership of coach Lane Kiffin, are strong contenders. Kiffin’s arrival has drastically improved playoff prospects for the team. Yet, the coach isn’t the only asset. Both coordinators, Charlie Weis Jr. and Blake Baker, are top talents, likely featured on Broyles Award watchlists.
The team boasts a reported $40 million roster, headlined by the top-ranked transfer class. A rank of 13 feels low for the Tigers, who are unlikely to surprise anyone this season. Kiffin faces high expectations, and a playoff spot seems a probable target.
SMU Mustangs (Preseason Rank: 20)
SMU Mustangs created a stir by entering the playoff in their first ACC season. A slight regression in 2025 saw them barely miss another playoff. Their losses, like a double-overtime defeat against Baylor, were narrow. They remain in the top-25 for returning talent, particularly with experienced quarterback Kevin Jennings.
The Mustangs miss facing Miami and Clemson in regular conference play, positioning them well for an ACC Championship run in 2026. Despite Miami’s perceived superiority, SMU defeated them before, and coach Rhett Lashlee’s strategy strengthens their chances.
Houston Cougars (Preseason Rank: 24)
The Houston Cougars are an under-the-radar team predicted to win the Big 12. Ranked 17th nationally in returning talent, they excel on offense. New addition Makhi Hughes from the transfer portal is set to elevate their game, reminiscent of his Tulane performance.
Defensive coordinator Austin Armstrong’s methods provide added advantage. The team’s veteran presence suits the Big 12 schedule, bypassing some key opponents. Early games against Texas Tech, before they establish form, could pave the way for a conference title. Houston might surprise many by claiming victory in the Big 12.
Austin Perry is a contributor to OutKick.